Pre-Election Likelihoods

With four months before US election what is Russia likely to do in Ukraine? How much public pressure is Putin under to respond more forcefully to provocations enabled by the US? Austin-Belousov talk. Will Israel finagle Biden into war with Hezbollah/Iran?

When Analysts Helped Avert War

Russia/Ukraine/US and how US-Russia tension recall (and exceed) 1983 when all-out war was nipped in the bud by courageous analysts. Can Israel mousetrap US into open war vs Hezbollah? (Apologies up front for the 2-destroyer story; that happened 3 yrs ago)

 

Netanyahu’s Calculus

Netanyahu’s calculus in planning atk on armed-to-the-teeth Hezbollah; would like to mousetrap the US in; expects Biden take the bait & become directly involved militarily when Israel faces strong resistance. Also, implications of Russia-North Korea treaty.

 

The Next Edition of “Briefing the President”

Briefing ‘The President’ (Robert Scheer) Tues, I provided a reality check on awful “intel” he is getting from sycophants on Ukraine/Russia; and, regarding Israel/Hezbollah, the likely outcome of actions he seems about to take. [Sans beard; Julian is FREE!]

Innocent Laugh Before the Debate

Last chance for a good innocent laugh before the Biden-Trump debate this evening: “Trump works for Russia, yes?” [You gotta watch.] Will Biden actually rehabilitate Trump on this score with help of CNN this evening? Treat yourself to this short SNL skit:

Israelis’ Access to the Pentagon

Do the Israelis have unfettered access to Pentagon? They did before the US attacked Iraq (with their urging). It got so bad that Gen Brent Scowcroft went to the press to complain that PM Sharon had Bush “mesmerized and wrapped around his little finger”.

Artificially Stoked Russophobia

I began Zoom talk yesterday noting it was the anniversary of the German attack on Russia June 22, 1941. Historical and personal stories showing US-Russia natural allies. Still, artificially stoked Russophobia could mislead Americans to support using nukes.