INTEL Roundtable w/ Johnson & McGovern + Scott Ritter : Weekly Wrap 29-May

Larry Johnson, Scott Ritter, and I discuss our Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity (VIPS) Alert Memorandum, “Avoiding Catastrophic Failure in Cuba”, issued earlier on Friday:

https://consortiumnews.com/2026/05/29/vips-memo-avoiding-catastrophic-failure-in-cuba/

C.I.A. Director John Ratcliffe, President Donald Trump, Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Stephen Miller, deputy chief of staff for policy, monitoring U.S. military operations in Venezuela, from Mar-a-Lago Club in Palm Beach, Florida, on Jan. 3, 2026. (White House /Molly Riley)

We also reviewed the bidding on Iran, Ukraine.

VIPS MEMO: Avoiding Catastrophic Failure in Cuba

NEARSIGHTED and ARMS FOLDED they waded knee deep in the Deep Muddy – this time Cuba. Before the US gets waist deep, and before “the big fool says to push on”, words of caution from a savvy former intelligence analyst of Latin America and 15 VIPS colleagues

https://consortiumnews.com/2026/05/29/vips-memo-avoiding-catastrophic-failure-in-cuba/

C.I.A. Director John Ratcliffe, President Donald Trump, Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Stephen Miller, deputy chief of staff for policy, monitoring U.S. military operations in Venezuela, from Mar-a-Lago Club in Palm Beach, Florida, on Jan. 3, 2026. (White House /Molly Riley)

 

Target Cuba

Can US blithely dismiss the possibility that Putin and Xi will rattle sabers — or worse, if US moves to “regime-change” Cuba? Might they opt to put some teeth in their rhetoric against “all unilateral acts of bullying”? Relevant context from the early 60s

Ray McGovern: Russia Escalates With New Strategy?

Misleading title. My take: While Putin can be stern (and effective) with Trump when necessary, his overarching priority is to avoid risk of forcing on mercurial Trump a choice between “humiliating retreat or nuclear war” (to quote JFK’s warning after Cuba)

From foxnews.com