Monday morning; the Judge and I:
How Venezuela Changes the Conversation
All Bets Off for Russia-US rapprochement in wake of US attack on Venezuela. Putin will find this one very hard to stomach. He already had a number of indications the Washington Swamp hawks were gaining clout. Benchmark: My take on status quo ante Venezuela
Deep Dive into Russian/Soviet History

I had thought I knew a lot about Russian/Soviet history. Now hazy memories as well as new discoveries are brought to light by historian Geoffrey Roberts. To his credit, he connects it all to more recent history – particularly on Russia-Ukraine today.
https://eng.globalaffairs.ru/articles/great-powers-roberts/
Putin is More Credible than NYT’s Barnes & Schmitt

US-Russia Stakes in Ukraine
“Bob & Ray II” takes stock of US-Russia stakes in Ukraine. How does one deal with a mercurial narcissist? With kid gloves, probing whether Trump 1) is serious, and 2) is his own man. Putin is likely to learn more in next weeks as key issues come to a head.
Tell the Truth, Trump
Can Trump be Smart on START Limits
Ukraine: Can Trump and Putin Untie the Gordian Knot? What is the priority of each? Can Trump be his own man in dealing w/Russia? LITMUS TEST: Is he able to say “Yes” to Putin’s Sept 22 proposal that both sides adhere to New START limits for another year?
Broken Promises
Sure Seems Like It’s About NATO
Context. Feb 1 2008: Lavrov warns, Ukraine in NATO “could bring civil war, force Russia to intervene.” Apr 3 2008: NATO summit: “Ukraine will become member of NATO.” Dec 2021: Russia offers treaty. NATO says “NO!” Don’t miss this; I wish it were funny:
Did Russia Have a Choice?

For those w/genuine interest in Russia-US relations, see Deputy Foreign Minister Ryabkov’s interview mid.ru/ru/foreign_pol. He asserts Russia had no choice, no alternative (другого выхода) but to resort to military action in Ukraine. John Mearsheimer predicted this 11 yrs ago.


